Price Index
The BLS-anchored index of what HVAC equipment, refrigerant and fuel actually cost, updated monthly with nominal and inflation-adjusted series.
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Heating Oil Forecast Up 35% This Winter; Gas Falls
EIA’s September outlook puts heating oil 35% above last winter and residential gas 9% below. At forecast prices, oil heat costs closer to electric resistance than to gas.
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What Heat Costs by Fuel: Gas, Propane, Oil and Heat Pumps
The cost of a million Btu of delivered heat from every common system, at 2025/26 season fuel prices and federal minimum efficiencies, with the electricity price where a…
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The HVAC Equipment Price Index: Up 60% Since 2019
The monthly HVAC equipment price index from BLS producer prices: up 60% since 2019 and 22% in real terms, with a real-terms series, a timing analysis and a…
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The Heating Season Opens With Prices High and Shipments Soft
Equipment prices at a series high, gas furnace shipments down 6.2%, and heating oil closing the last season at its highest since 2022. The published positions going into…
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HVAC Equipment Prices Hit a Record in July
The BLS producer price index for HVAC equipment reached 324.9 in July, its highest reading, up 1.23% on the month heading into the autumn replacement season.
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How American Homes Are Heated: The Fuel and Equipment Mix
Natural gas is the main heating fuel in 62.71 million US homes and electricity in 42.57 million. Heat pumps hold 13.1% of the stock while taking near half…
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Should You Replace Your HVAC Now or Wait? What the Data Says
Equipment producer prices are up 60% since 2019 and August 2026 is the highest reading in the series. The 25C credit is gone. What waiting actually changes, and…
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How Much Does a New HVAC System Cost in 2026?
No federal agency measures installed HVAC cost, so every national average you see is a vendor survey. Here is the part that is documented: equipment producer prices up…
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Heating Oil Prices: $5.54 a Gallon and What Drove the 2026 Spike
US residential heating oil finished the 2025/26 season at $5.54 a gallon. The season averaged $4.01, up 9.8%, and peaked at $5.57 after a 19.3% single-week jump in…
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HVAC Prices in 2026: The Data Behind the Sticker Shock
HVAC equipment producer prices are up 60 percent since 2019, roughly twice general inflation. An original index built from federal data, plus what the refrigerant and tax credit…