Research
Original data analysis for the HVAC trade: workforce, prices, energy use, safety and equipment statistics built from primary federal sources.
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The HVAC Recall Registry: 95 Recalls and 18.1 Million Units Since 2015
Lists of individual HVAC recalls exist; the aggregate does not. 95 recalls since 2015 covering 18,094,672 US units, fire in 58 of them, with the full registry and…
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The HVAC Training Gap: 23,251 Credentials Against 40,100 Openings
Everyone quotes the 40,100 annual openings. Nobody publishes how many technicians the training system produces. IPEDS completions data puts it at 23,251 for 2023-24, a replacement ratio of…
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What Americans Actually Set the Thermostat To: 72°F, Not 78°F
EIA surveyed 18,496 households on what they set the thermostat to. The median summer setting is 72F, only 12.8% set 78F or warmer, and 61.7% never set back…
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AC Unit Cost in 2026: What Federal and National Lab Estimates Actually Show
No federal agency measures installed AC prices, but EIA, DOE and LBNL publish modelled and benchmark estimates. Here is every sourced figure, its dollar year, and how far…
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HVAC Technician Pay in the 30 Largest US Metros
Median wages for HVAC mechanics and installers in the 30 largest metros, from $38.51 an hour in Seattle to $24.30 in Tampa, with employment and the gap to…
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Refrigerant Prices: What the Federal Price Index Shows
The closest federal price series to HVAC refrigerant is up 61% since 2019. What the index covers, why no agency prices R-410A, and the policies driving refrigerant costs.
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Heating Oil Forecast Up 35% This Winter; Gas Falls
EIA’s September outlook puts heating oil 35% above last winter and residential gas 9% below. At forecast prices, oil heat costs closer to electric resistance than to gas.
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America Had 132.5 Million Homes in 2024
EIA’s 2024 residential survey counts 132.54 million homes, up from 123.53 million. What it says about climate regions and housing age, and what is missing until 2027.
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Heat Pumps Were 45% of July HVAC Shipments
Heat pumps took 45.1% of July shipments. Year to date the industry has shipped 126,433 fewer units than in 2024 but 142,854 more heat pumps, so the category…
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How Many HVAC Businesses Are There? 122,326 by the Federal Count
Software sites quote 120,000 HVAC businesses without a source. The federal count is 122,326 establishments in 2024, up 22% in a decade, and they are getting bigger: 9.1…